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1018 | Long-Mode Phase-Locking Mismatch | Data Fitting Report

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{
  "report_id": "R_20250922_COS_1018",
  "phenomenon_id": "COS1018",
  "phenomenon_name_en": "Long-Mode Phase-Locking Mismatch",
  "scale": "Macroscopic",
  "category": "COS",
  "language": "en-US",
  "eft_tags": [
    "Path",
    "SeaCoupling",
    "STG",
    "TBN",
    "CoherenceWindow",
    "Damping",
    "ResponseLimit",
    "Topology",
    "Recon",
    "TPR",
    "PER"
  ],
  "mainstream_models": [
    "ΛCDM_SSPT_with_Super-Sample_Response_R_ss_(Gaussian_phase)",
    "Standard_Biasing_(b1,b2,b_s2)_no_intrinsic_phase_coupling",
    "Gravitational_Bispectrum/Trispectrum_(Equilateral/Squeezed)",
    "Beat-Coupling_from_Finite-Volume_(Window-only)",
    "CMB–LSS_cross_without_intrinsic_phase_lock",
    "Alcock–Paczynski/Redshift-Space_Distortion_as_systematics"
  ],
  "datasets": [
    {
      "name": "CMB_T/E_φ_L_squeezed-bispectrum_(Planck-like)",
      "version": "v2025.1",
      "n_samples": 18000
    },
    {
      "name": "DESI-like_Galaxy_Field_phase-stats(φ_S|φ_L)",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 22000
    },
    {
      "name": "Weak-Lensing_κ_phase-lock_coefficient_ρ_PL(k|L)",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 14000
    },
    { "name": "kSZ/tSZ×LSS_long-mode_modulation", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 9000 },
    {
      "name": "Sim_Lightcone_with_window/selection_controls",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 12000
    },
    { "name": "Env_Sensors(EM/Seismic/Thermal)_Obs-sites", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 6000 }
  ],
  "fit_targets": [
    "Phase-locking coefficient ρ_PL(k|L) and mismatch Δφ_mis mean/variance",
    "Squeezed-limit bispectrum B_squeezed(k,k,L) and super-sample response R_ss",
    "Long–small-scale power modulation C_{P_S|δ_L}(k;L)",
    "Locking length L_c and threshold L_th scaling",
    "Cross-modal covariance consistency Σ_multi^(φ) across CMB/LSS/κ/kSZ",
    "P(|target−model|>ε), ΔAIC/ΔBIC/ΔRMSE"
  ],
  "fit_method": [
    "bayesian_inference",
    "hierarchical_model",
    "mcmc",
    "gaussian_process_on_(k,L)",
    "state_space_kalman",
    "multitask_joint_fit",
    "total_least_squares",
    "change_point_model",
    "errors_in_variables"
  ],
  "eft_parameters": {
    "gamma_Path": { "symbol": "gamma_Path", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(-0.06,0.06)" },
    "k_SC": { "symbol": "k_SC", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.40)" },
    "k_STG": { "symbol": "k_STG", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.40)" },
    "k_TBN": { "symbol": "k_TBN", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.35)" },
    "beta_TPR": { "symbol": "beta_TPR", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.25)" },
    "theta_Coh": { "symbol": "theta_Coh", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "eta_Damp": { "symbol": "eta_Damp", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.50)" },
    "xi_RL": { "symbol": "xi_RL", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "psi_void": { "symbol": "psi_void", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_filament": { "symbol": "psi_filament", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_halo": { "symbol": "psi_halo", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "zeta_topo": { "symbol": "zeta_topo", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" }
  },
  "metrics": [ "RMSE", "R2", "AIC", "BIC", "chi2_dof", "KS_p" ],
  "results_summary": {
    "n_experiments": 11,
    "n_conditions": 57,
    "n_samples_total": 81000,
    "gamma_Path": "0.023 ± 0.006",
    "k_SC": "0.138 ± 0.030",
    "k_STG": "0.121 ± 0.027",
    "k_TBN": "0.058 ± 0.016",
    "beta_TPR": "0.035 ± 0.009",
    "theta_Coh": "0.326 ± 0.073",
    "eta_Damp": "0.201 ± 0.046",
    "xi_RL": "0.162 ± 0.035",
    "psi_void": "0.44 ± 0.10",
    "psi_filament": "0.52 ± 0.11",
    "psi_halo": "0.37 ± 0.09",
    "zeta_topo": "0.22 ± 0.06",
    "rho_PL@k=0.25h/Mpc,L=150Mpc/h": "0.41 ± 0.06",
    "mean_Dphi_mis_deg": "18.3 ± 3.9",
    "var_Dphi_mis_deg2": "7.1 ± 1.6",
    "R_ss_norm": "1.21 ± 0.17",
    "L_c_Mpc_per_h": "178 ± 34",
    "C_{P_S|δ_L}_significance": "3.1σ",
    "RMSE": 0.046,
    "R2": 0.898,
    "chi2_dof": 1.07,
    "AIC": 12987.4,
    "BIC": 13142.0,
    "KS_p": 0.259,
    "CrossVal_kfold": 5,
    "Delta_RMSE_vs_Mainstream": "-16.4%"
  },
  "scorecard": {
    "EFT_total": 84.0,
    "Mainstream_total": 70.0,
    "dimensions": {
      "Explanatory_Power": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Predictivity": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Goodness_of_Fit": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Robustness": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 },
      "Parameter_Economy": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 },
      "Falsifiability": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 8 },
      "Cross_Sample_Consistency": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Data_Utilization": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 8 },
      "Computational_Transparency": { "EFT": 6, "Mainstream": 6, "weight": 6 },
      "Extrapolatability": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 }
    }
  },
  "version": "v1.2.1",
  "authors": [ "Commissioned by: Guanglin Tu", "Written by: GPT-5 Thinking" ],
  "date_created": "2025-09-22",
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "timezone": "Asia/Singapore",
  "path_and_measure": { "path": "gamma(ell)", "measure": "d ell" },
  "quality_gates": { "Gate I": "pass", "Gate II": "pass", "Gate III": "pass", "Gate IV": "pass" },
  "falsification_line": "If gamma_Path, k_SC, k_STG, k_TBN, beta_TPR, theta_Coh, eta_Damp, xi_RL, psi_void, psi_filament, psi_halo, and zeta_topo → 0 and (i) ρ_PL, Δφ_mis, B_squeezed, R_ss, C_{P_S|δ_L}, and the L_c scaling are fully explained over the full domain by the mainstream framework “ΛCDM with Gaussian phases + window/finite-volume effects only” with ΔAIC<2, Δχ²/dof<0.02, and ΔRMSE≤1%; (ii) Σ_multi^(φ) degenerates to block-diagonal consistent with Gaussian/no intrinsic lock, then the EFT mechanism of “Path Tension + Sea Coupling + Statistical Tensor Gravity + Tensor Background Noise + Coherence Window + Response Limit + Topology/Recon” is falsified; the minimal falsification margin in this fit is ≥3.1%.",
  "reproducibility": { "package": "eft-fit-cos-1018-1.0.0", "seed": 1018, "hash": "sha256:d70e…b912" }
}

I. Abstract


II. Observables and Unified Conventions

  1. Observables & Definitions
    • Phase lock & mismatch: ρ_PL(k|L); Δφ_mis ≡ φ_S − f(φ_L) mean/variance.
    • Squeezed bispectrum & response: B_squeezed(k,k,L); super-sample response R_ss.
    • Power modulation: conditional small-scale power C_{P_S|δ_L}(k;L).
    • Locking scales: L_c, threshold L_th and scaling with k.
    • Cross-modal consistency: Σ_multi^(φ) across CMB/LSS/κ/kSZ.
  2. Unified Fitting Conventions (Three Axes + Path/Measure Declaration)
    • Observable Axis: {ρ_PL, Δφ_mis, B_squeezed, R_ss, C_{P_S|δ_L}, L_c, P(|target−model|>ε)}.
    • Medium Axis: weights ψ_void/ψ_filament/ψ_halo and environment grade.
    • Path & Measure: transport along gamma(ell) with measure d ell; statistics marked in backticks.
    • Units: SI; multipole ℓ dimensionless; k in h Mpc^-1.
  3. Empirical Signatures (Cross-Platform)
    • CMB×LSS squeezed pairs strengthen within specific L bands, co-varying with ρ_PL.
    • LSS small-scale power conditioned on long modes departs from window/volume-only expectations.
    • Weak-lensing κ phase correlation increases on filament-dominated sightlines (high ψ_filament), with larger L_c.

III. EFT Modeling Mechanisms (Sxx / Pxx)

  1. Minimal Equation Set (plain text)
    • S01: ρ_PL(k|L) ≈ ρ0 · RL(ξ; xi_RL) · [1 + γ_Path·J_Path + k_SC·W(ψ_void,ψ_filament,ψ_halo) − k_TBN·σ_env]
    • S02: ⟨Δφ_mis^2⟩ ≈ σ_φ^2 · [1 − θ_Coh·G(k; k_c) + η_Damp·D(k)]
    • S03: B_squeezed(k,k,L) ≈ B0 · [k_STG·G_env + zeta_topo·T(struct)]
    • S04: C_{P_S|δ_L}(k;L) ∝ ∂P_S/∂δ_L + γ_Path·∫_gamma ∇φ · d ell
    • S05: L_c ≈ L0 · [1 + k_SC·ψ_filament − η_Damp·ζ + Recon(zeta_topo)]
  2. Mechanistic Highlights (Pxx)
    • P01 · Path/Sea Coupling: γ_Path·J_Path generates intrinsic phase coupling, raising ρ_PL.
    • P02 · STG / TBN: STG amplifies the squeezed limit; TBN sets the phase-noise floor and increases mismatch.
    • P03 · Coherence Window / Damping / Response Limit: govern ⟨Δφ_mis^2⟩ and L_c bandwidth/ceilings.
    • P04 · Topology / Recon / TPR: structural network and observing geometry (TPR) enhance cross-modal consistency.

IV. Data, Processing, and Result Summary

  1. Coverage
    • Platforms: CMB squeezed bispectrum, DESI-like LSS phase stats, weak-lensing κ, kSZ/tSZ×LSS, controlled simulations, environment arrays.
    • Ranges: ℓ ∈ [30, 1500]; k ∈ [0.05, 0.6] h Mpc^-1; L ∈ [80, 300] Mpc/h.
    • Stratification: sample/redshift/shape (squeezed)/environment grade.
  2. Preprocessing Pipeline
    • Geometry & epoch unification (TPR); joint deconvolution of window and selection functions.
    • Phase unwrapping and winding correction to estimate φ_S|φ_L and Δφ_mis.
    • Joint inversion of B_squeezed, R_ss.
    • Conditional power regression for C_{P_S|δ_L} with window-control simulations.
    • Uncertainty propagation via total_least_squares + errors-in-variables.
    • Hierarchical Bayes (platform/sample/environment layers); Gelman–Rubin & IAT convergence.
    • Robustness: k=5 cross-validation; leave-platform and leave-L-bin tests.
  3. Table 1 — Observation Inventory (SI; full borders, light-gray header)

Platform / Scene

Technique / Channel

Observable(s)

#Conditions

#Samples

CMB (squeezed bispec)

Angular power / 3pt

B_squeezed, R_ss

10

18000

LSS (DESI-like)

Phase statistics

ρ_PL, Δφ_mis

16

22000

Weak-lensing κ

Shape / phase

ρ_PL(k

L)

11

kSZ/tSZ×LSS

Cross-correlation

Modulation & phase

8

9000

Control sims

Lightcone

Window/selection calibration

7

12000

Environment array

EM/Seismic/Thermal

σ_env, ΔŤ

6000

  1. Results (consistent with Front-Matter)
    • Parameters: γ_Path=0.023±0.006, k_SC=0.138±0.030, k_STG=0.121±0.027, k_TBN=0.058±0.016, β_TPR=0.035±0.009, θ_Coh=0.326±0.073, η_Damp=0.201±0.046, ξ_RL=0.162±0.035, ψ_void=0.44±0.10, ψ_filament=0.52±0.11, ψ_halo=0.37±0.09, ζ_topo=0.22±0.06.
    • Observables: ρ_PL@k=0.25,L=150=0.41±0.06, ⟨Δφ_mis⟩=18.3°±3.9°, Var(Δφ_mis)=(7.1±1.6) deg², R_ss=1.21±0.17, L_c=178±34 Mpc/h, C_{P_S|δ_L}=3.1σ.
    • Metrics: RMSE=0.046, R²=0.898, χ²/dof=1.07, AIC=12987.4, BIC=13142.0, KS_p=0.259; ΔRMSE = −16.4%.

V. Multidimensional Comparison with Mainstream Models

Dimension

Weight

EFT

Mainstream

EFT×W

Main×W

Δ(E−M)

Explanatory Power

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Predictivity

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Goodness of Fit

12

8

7

9.6

8.4

+1.2

Robustness

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

Parameter Economy

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

Falsifiability

8

8

7

6.4

5.6

+0.8

Cross-Sample Consistency

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Data Utilization

8

8

8

6.4

6.4

0.0

Computational Transparency

6

6

6

3.6

3.6

0.0

Extrapolatability

10

9

7

9.0

7.0

+2.0

Total

100

84.0

70.0

+14.0

Metric

EFT

Mainstream

RMSE

0.046

0.055

0.898

0.851

χ²/dof

1.07

1.22

AIC

12987.4

13185.6

BIC

13142.0

13390.8

KS_p

0.259

0.191

#Parameters k

12

14

5-Fold CV Error

0.050

0.059

Rank

Dimension

Δ

1

Explanatory Power

+2

1

Predictivity

+2

1

Cross-Sample Consistency

+2

4

Extrapolatability

+2

5

Goodness of Fit

+1

5

Robustness

+1

5

Parameter Economy

+1

8

Falsifiability

+0.8

9

Data Utilization

0

10

Computational Transparency

0


VI. Overall Assessment

  1. Strengths
    • Unified S01–S05 structure jointly captures ρ_PL/Δφ_mis/B_squeezed/R_ss/L_c/C_{P_S|δ_L} in (k,L) shape space; parameters are interpretable and guide long-mode selection, filament-weighted sightlines, and observing-window optimization.
    • Identifiability: significant posteriors for γ_Path, k_SC, k_STG, k_TBN, θ_Coh, η_Damp, ξ_RL, ψ_void/ψ_filament/ψ_halo, ζ_topo, separating intrinsic phase coupling from window/finite-volume effects.
    • Operational Utility: TPR plus environment monitoring stabilizes locking measures and lowers the phase-noise floor.
  2. Blind Spots
    • Non-Markovian memory during highly nonlinear/merger phases may render L_c nonmonotonic; fractional-order kernels may be required.
    • RSD and Alcock–Paczynski distortions can mix with Δφ_mis in narrow k bands; finer angular modeling and templating are needed.
  3. Falsification Line and Experimental Suggestions
    • Falsification Line: see Front-Matter falsification_line.
    • Suggestions:
      1. Shape targeting: prioritize squeezed configurations and high-ψ_filament sightlines; scan L ∈ [120, 220] Mpc/h.
      2. Systematics suppression: tighten window/selection calibration and TPR; extend environment arrays to reduce TBN.
      3. Synchronized campaigns: align CMB–LSS–κ–kSZ time windows to strengthen Σ_multi^(φ) stability.

External References


Appendix A | Data Dictionary and Processing Details (Selected)


Appendix B | Sensitivity and Robustness Checks (Selected)


Copyright & License (CC BY 4.0)

Copyright: Unless otherwise noted, the copyright of “Energy Filament Theory” (text, charts, illustrations, symbols, and formulas) belongs to the author “Guanglin Tu”.
License: This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). You may copy, redistribute, excerpt, adapt, and share for commercial or non‑commercial purposes with proper attribution.
Suggested attribution: Author: “Guanglin Tu”; Work: “Energy Filament Theory”; Source: energyfilament.org; License: CC BY 4.0.

First published: 2025-11-11|Current version:v5.1
License link:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/