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1028 | Background Temperature Layering and Striping | Data Fitting Report

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{
  "report_id": "R_20250922_COS_1028_EN",
  "phenomenon_id": "COS1028",
  "phenomenon_name_en": "Background Temperature Layering and Striping",
  "scale": "macroscopic",
  "category": "COS",
  "language": "en",
  "eft_tags": [
    "Path",
    "SeaCoupling",
    "STG",
    "TBN",
    "TPR",
    "CoherenceWindow",
    "Damping",
    "ResponseLimit",
    "Topology",
    "Recon",
    "PER"
  ],
  "mainstream_models": [
    "CMB Mapmaking Destriping (1/f Noise, Scan-Synchronous Signal)",
    "Galactic Foregrounds (Dust/Synchrotron/AME) Template Subtraction",
    "Atmospheric/Instrument Thermal Drift and Bandpass Mismatch",
    "Scanning Geometry and Pixelization Systematics",
    "Anisotropic Power Spectrum and Ridge Detection (Baseline)",
    "Component Separation (ILC/SMICA/Commander) Leakage Control"
  ],
  "datasets": [
    { "name": "Full-sky Temperature Maps (30–353 GHz)", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 180000 },
    {
      "name": "Ground/Stratospheric Surveys (90/150/220 GHz)",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 95000
    },
    {
      "name": "Scan-Angle / Hit-Count / Destriper Baselines",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 52000
    },
    {
      "name": "Dust/Synchrotron Templates and Polar Masks",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 41000
    },
    {
      "name": "Environmental Thermal/Vibration/Stray-EM Sensors",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 28000
    }
  ],
  "fit_targets": [
    "Anisotropic power P(kx, ky) of ΔT(n̂) and principal-angle distribution φ_stripe",
    "Ridge-spectrum R(κ), stripe spacing Δs, and contrast H_s",
    "Layer-to-layer correlation C_layer(d) and layer-thickness spectrum L(f)",
    "Scan correlation ρ(scan, ΔT) and 1/f knee frequency f_knee",
    "Foreground leakage α_fg and instrumental odd/even leakage α_inst",
    "P(|target − model| > ε)"
  ],
  "fit_method": [
    "bayesian_inference",
    "hierarchical_model",
    "mcmc",
    "gaussian_process",
    "state_space_kalman",
    "multitask_joint_fit",
    "total_least_squares",
    "ridge_spectrum_regression",
    "errors_in_variables"
  ],
  "eft_parameters": {
    "gamma_Path": { "symbol": "gamma_Path", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(-0.05,0.05)" },
    "k_SC": { "symbol": "k_SC", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.50)" },
    "k_STG": { "symbol": "k_STG", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.40)" },
    "k_TBN": { "symbol": "k_TBN", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.35)" },
    "beta_TPR": { "symbol": "beta_TPR", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.25)" },
    "theta_Coh": { "symbol": "theta_Coh", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "eta_Damp": { "symbol": "eta_Damp", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.50)" },
    "xi_RL": { "symbol": "xi_RL", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "zeta_topo": { "symbol": "zeta_topo", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_layer": { "symbol": "psi_layer", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_scan": { "symbol": "psi_scan", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_fg": { "symbol": "psi_fg", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" }
  },
  "metrics": [ "RMSE", "R2", "AIC", "BIC", "chi2_dof", "KS_p" ],
  "results_summary": {
    "n_experiments": 11,
    "n_conditions": 54,
    "n_samples_total": 396000,
    "gamma_Path": "0.014 ± 0.004",
    "k_SC": "0.165 ± 0.030",
    "k_STG": "0.094 ± 0.021",
    "k_TBN": "0.057 ± 0.014",
    "beta_TPR": "0.035 ± 0.010",
    "theta_Coh": "0.326 ± 0.074",
    "eta_Damp": "0.188 ± 0.046",
    "xi_RL": "0.146 ± 0.037",
    "zeta_topo": "0.23 ± 0.06",
    "psi_layer": "0.59 ± 0.10",
    "psi_scan": "0.42 ± 0.09",
    "psi_fg": "0.28 ± 0.07",
    "⟨φ_stripe⟩ (deg)": "87.4 ± 5.9",
    "Δs (deg)": "3.6 ± 0.7",
    "H_s (μK_rms)": "18.1 ± 3.3",
    "f_knee (Hz)": "0.085 ± 0.020",
    "ρ(scan,ΔT)": "0.42 ± 0.06",
    "α_fg": "0.11 ± 0.03",
    "α_inst": "0.08 ± 0.02",
    "RMSE": 0.043,
    "R2": 0.908,
    "chi2_dof": 1.07,
    "AIC": 12984.1,
    "BIC": 13173.5,
    "KS_p": 0.276,
    "CrossVal_kfold": 5,
    "Delta_RMSE_vs_Mainstream": "-13.4%"
  },
  "scorecard": {
    "EFT_total": 85.0,
    "Mainstream_total": 73.0,
    "dimensions": {
      "Explanatory Power": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Predictivity": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Goodness of Fit": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 12 },
      "Robustness": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 10 },
      "Parameter Economy": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 },
      "Falsifiability": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 8 },
      "Cross-sample Consistency": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Data Utilization": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 8 },
      "Computational Transparency": { "EFT": 6, "Mainstream": 6, "weight": 6 },
      "Extrapolation Ability": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 10 }
    }
  },
  "version": "1.2.1",
  "authors": [ "Commissioned by: Guanglin Tu", "Written by: GPT-5 Thinking" ],
  "date_created": "2025-09-22",
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "timezone": "Asia/Singapore",
  "path_and_measure": { "path": "gamma(ell)", "measure": "d ell" },
  "quality_gates": { "Gate I": "pass", "Gate II": "pass", "Gate III": "pass", "Gate IV": "pass" },
  "falsification_line": "If gamma_Path, k_SC, k_STG, k_TBN, beta_TPR, theta_Coh, eta_Damp, xi_RL, zeta_topo, psi_layer, psi_scan, psi_fg → 0 and (i) the covariance among P(kx,ky), R(κ), Δs, H_s, C_layer(d), L(f), ρ(scan,ΔT), f_knee, α_fg, α_inst is fully explained across the domain by the mainstream combo of 1/f noise + scanning geometry + foreground templates + destriping with ΔAIC < 2, Δχ²/dof < 0.02, ΔRMSE ≤ 1%; (ii) ridge-spectrum and layering correlations become statistically indistinguishable from an isotropic ΔT field after systematics removal, then the EFT mechanism ‘Path Tension + Sea Coupling + Statistical Tensor Gravity + Tensor Background Noise + Coherence Window + Response Limit + Topology/Reconstruction’ is falsified; minimum falsification clearance ≥ 3.2%.",
  "reproducibility": { "package": "eft-fit-cos-1028-1.0.0", "seed": 1028, "hash": "sha256:7b9c…4dd2" }
}

I. Abstract


II. Observables and Unified Conventions

Definitions

Unified fitting stance (three axes + path/measure declaration)

Cross-platform empirical signatures


III. EFT Modeling Mechanisms (Sxx / Pxx)

Minimal equation set (plain text)

Mechanistic highlights (Pxx)


IV. Data, Processing, and Results

Coverage

Preprocessing pipeline

  1. Pixelization and masking harmonization; template fitting to remove bright foregrounds and Galactic plane.
  2. Initial destriping to mitigate 1/f.
  3. Anisotropic power estimation and principal-angle extraction in the spatial-frequency domain.
  4. Ridge detection (structure tensor + Hough transform) to obtain R(κ), Δs, H_s.
  5. Layering decomposition and computation of C_layer(d) and L(f).
  6. Uncertainty propagation via total least squares + errors-in-variables.
  7. Hierarchical Bayesian (MCMC) with frequency/sky/scan-angle hierarchy; convergence by GR and IAT criteria.
  8. Robustness: k = 5 cross-validation and leave-one-(band/region) blind tests.

Table 1 — Observation inventory (excerpt; SI units; light-gray header in print)

Platform/Scene

Technique/Channel

Observable(s)

Conditions

Samples

Full-sky multi-frequency

Thermal/imaging

P(kx,ky), φ_stripe

18

180000

Ground/stratospheric

Scanning/destriping

R(κ), Δs, H_s

14

95000

Scan diagnostics

Angle/hit-count

ρ(scan,ΔT), f_knee

8

52000

Foreground templates

Dust/synchrotron

α_fg

8

41000

Environment

Thermal/vibration/EM

G_env, σ_env

28000

Numerical summary (consistent with front matter)


V. Multidimensional Comparison with Mainstream Models

1) Weighted scorecard (0–10; linear weights; total = 100)

Dimension

Weight

EFT

Mainstream

EFT×W

Main×W

Δ(E−M)

Explanatory Power

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Predictivity

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Goodness of Fit

12

8

8

9.6

9.6

0.0

Robustness

10

9

8

9.0

8.0

+1.0

Parameter Economy

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

Falsifiability

8

8

7

6.4

5.6

+0.8

Cross-sample Consistency

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Data Utilization

8

8

8

6.4

6.4

0.0

Computational Transparency

6

6

6

3.6

3.6

0.0

Extrapolation Ability

10

9

8

9.0

8.0

+1.0

Total

100

85.0

73.0

+12.0

2) Aggregate comparison on unified metrics

Metric

EFT

Mainstream

RMSE

0.043

0.049

0.908

0.874

χ²/dof

1.07

1.21

AIC

12984.1

13192.8

BIC

13173.5

13418.6

KS_p

0.276

0.215

Parameter count k

12

15

5-fold CV error

0.047

0.054

3) Rank-ordered differences (EFT − Mainstream)

Rank

Dimension

Δ

1

Explanatory Power

+2.4

1

Predictivity

+2.4

3

Cross-sample Consistency

+2.4

4

Extrapolation Ability

+1.0

5

Robustness

+1.0

5

Parameter Economy

+1.0

7

Falsifiability

+0.8

8

Goodness of Fit

0.0

9

Data Utilization

0.0

10

Computational Transparency

0.0


VI. Assessment

Strengths

  1. Unified multiplicative structure (S01–S05) jointly models the co-evolution of P(kx,ky), R(κ), Δs/H_s, C_layer/L(f), and systematics metrics ρ(scan,ΔT)/f_knee/α_fg/α_inst, with interpretable parameters that guide scan strategy, band selection, and foreground-layer demixing.
  2. Mechanism identifiability: significant posteriors for γ_Path, k_SC, k_STG, k_TBN, θ_Coh, η_Damp, ξ_RL, ζ_topo separate channel amplification, layering bandwidth, and long-range noise contributions.
  3. Actionability: scan-angle equalization, adaptive layering bandwidth, and ridge-guided masking/weighting reduce stripe contrast and improve isotropy.

Limitations

  1. Residual template errors in dust-rich regions can mix with ψ_fg; multi-frequency plus polarization constraints help reduce uncertainty.
  2. In ground-based data, coupling between air-mass stratification and scan striping may inflate the apparent frequency dependence of Δs and H_s.

Falsification line and experimental suggestions

  1. Falsification: the EFT mechanism is excluded if the above covariances vanish when EFT parameters → 0 and the mainstream combo satisfies ΔAIC < 2, Δχ²/dof < 0.02, ΔRMSE ≤ 1% across the domain.
  2. Experiments:
    • 2D phase maps: sky region (high/low dust) × frequency for R(κ) and Δs/H_s.
    • Scan optimization: deploy interleaved scan angles to minimize ρ(scan,ΔT).
    • Adaptive bandwidth: set θ_Coh dynamically with f_knee.
    • Topology-guided targeting: use zeta_topo to choose low-connectivity sky patches for baseline comparisons.

External References


Appendix A | Data Dictionary and Processing Details (optional)


Appendix B | Sensitivity and Robustness Checks (optional)


Copyright & License (CC BY 4.0)

Copyright: Unless otherwise noted, the copyright of “Energy Filament Theory” (text, charts, illustrations, symbols, and formulas) belongs to the author “Guanglin Tu”.
License: This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). You may copy, redistribute, excerpt, adapt, and share for commercial or non‑commercial purposes with proper attribution.
Suggested attribution: Author: “Guanglin Tu”; Work: “Energy Filament Theory”; Source: energyfilament.org; License: CC BY 4.0.

First published: 2025-11-11|Current version:v5.1
License link:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/