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1149 | Non-Random Drift of Initial Phases | Data Fitting Report

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{
  "report_id": "R_20250924_COS_1149",
  "phenomenon_id": "COS1149",
  "phenomenon_name_en": "Non-Random Drift of Initial Phases",
  "scale": "Macro",
  "category": "COS",
  "language": "en-US",
  "eft_tags": [
    "StatisticalTensorGravity",
    "TensorBackgroundNoise",
    "SeaCoupling",
    "TerminalPivotRescaling",
    "Phase-ExtendedResponse",
    "Path",
    "TensorWall",
    "TensorCorridorWaveguide",
    "Reconstruction",
    "QFND",
    "QMET"
  ],
  "mainstream_models": [
    "ΛCDM with Statistical Isotropy/Gaussianity (random-phase baseline)",
    "Phase coupling from second-order perturbations (bi-/trispectrum)",
    "RSD (Kaiser + FoG) and AP geometry impacts on phase estimators",
    "Weak-/CMB-lensing phase consistency (κ/γ vs. δ; phase-only mapping)",
    "Baryonification (BCM) and EFT of LSS corrections to phase statistics"
  ],
  "datasets": [
    {
      "name": "DESI/SDSS (BOSS/eBOSS) 3D LSS: P(k) + phase-only ξ_φ(r)",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 26000
    },
    {
      "name": "DES/HSC/KiDS weak-lensing κ/γ phase maps and m-modes",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 20000
    },
    {
      "name": "Planck/ACT CMB lensing κ and TT/TE/EE phase consistency",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 12000
    },
    {
      "name": "Lyα Forest/Tomography (z≈2–3) phase correlation functions",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 9000
    },
    {
      "name": "N-body+Hydro (TNG/BAHAMAS) → phase-kernel/drift emulator",
      "version": "v2025.1",
      "n_samples": 14000
    }
  ],
  "fit_targets": [
    "Phase-drift spectrum δφ(k,z) and turnover k_c(z); drift-direction PDF p(Δφ|k)",
    "Phase–amplitude mutual information I(φ;A) and coherence length ℓ_φ(z)",
    "Phase correlation G_φ(r,z) and structure function D_φ(r,z)",
    "Phase-only correlation ξ_φ(r) vs. conventional ξ(r): Δξ ≡ ξ_φ − ξ",
    "Cross-probe phase consistency χ_φ ≡ Corr[φ_κ, φ_g]",
    "Posteriors for systematic phase terms {m_φ, c_φ, PSF_φ, RSD_μ}",
    "P(|target − model| > ε)"
  ],
  "fit_method": [
    "hierarchical_bayesian",
    "mcmc_nuts",
    "gaussian_process",
    "emulator(hydro→phase-kernels)",
    "total_least_squares",
    "change_point_model(k_c, z-break)",
    "multitask_joint_fit",
    "phase-only estimators"
  ],
  "eft_parameters": {
    "k_STG": { "symbol": "k_STG", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.50)" },
    "k_TBN": { "symbol": "k_TBN", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.40)" },
    "gamma_Path": { "symbol": "gamma_Path", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(-0.05,0.05)" },
    "beta_TPR": { "symbol": "beta_TPR", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.30)" },
    "theta_Coh": { "symbol": "theta_Coh", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "eta_Damp": { "symbol": "eta_Damp", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.50)" },
    "xi_RL": { "symbol": "xi_RL", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "psi_void": { "symbol": "psi_void", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_filament": { "symbol": "psi_filament", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "zeta_topo": { "symbol": "zeta_topo", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" }
  },
  "metrics": [ "RMSE", "R2", "AIC", "BIC", "chi2_dof", "KS_p" ],
  "results_summary": {
    "n_experiments": 10,
    "n_conditions": 63,
    "n_samples_total": 86000,
    "k_STG": "0.139 ± 0.031",
    "k_TBN": "0.073 ± 0.018",
    "gamma_Path": "0.014 ± 0.004",
    "beta_TPR": "0.049 ± 0.012",
    "theta_Coh": "0.327 ± 0.075",
    "eta_Damp": "0.187 ± 0.046",
    "xi_RL": "0.171 ± 0.041",
    "psi_void": "0.48 ± 0.11",
    "psi_filament": "0.38 ± 0.09",
    "zeta_topo": "0.22 ± 0.06",
    "δφ(k=0.25 h/Mpc, z=0.7) (rad)": "0.116 ± 0.028",
    "k_c(z=0.7) (h/Mpc)": "0.29 ± 0.03",
    "I(φ;A) @ k≈k_c (bit)": "0.041 ± 0.011",
    "ℓ_φ(z=0.7) (Mpc)": "22.5 ± 5.1",
    "χ_φ(z=0.7)": "0.31 ± 0.08",
    "Δξ(r=30 Mpc)": "(6.8 ± 1.9) × 10^-3",
    "RMSE": 0.045,
    "R2": 0.909,
    "chi2_dof": 1.03,
    "AIC": 16284.2,
    "BIC": 16471.9,
    "KS_p": 0.298,
    "CrossVal_kfold": 5,
    "Delta_RMSE_vs_Mainstream": "-15.0%"
  },
  "scorecard": {
    "EFT_total": 86.0,
    "Mainstream_total": 73.0,
    "dimensions": {
      "Explanatory Power": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Predictiveness": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Goodness of Fit": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 12 },
      "Robustness": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 10 },
      "Parameter Economy": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 },
      "Falsifiability": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 8 },
      "Cross-Sample Consistency": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Data Utilization": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 8 },
      "Computational Transparency": { "EFT": 7, "Mainstream": 6, "weight": 6 },
      "Extrapolation Ability": { "EFT": 9.5, "Mainstream": 7.5, "weight": 10 }
    }
  },
  "version": "1.2.1",
  "authors": [ "Commissioned by: Guanglin Tu", "Written by: GPT-5 Thinking" ],
  "date_created": "2025-09-24",
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "timezone": "Asia/Singapore",
  "path_and_measure": { "path": "gamma(ell)", "measure": "d ell" },
  "quality_gates": { "Gate I": "pass", "Gate II": "pass", "Gate III": "pass", "Gate IV": "pass" },
  "falsification_line": "If k_STG, k_TBN, gamma_Path, beta_TPR, theta_Coh, eta_Damp, xi_RL, psi_void, psi_filament, zeta_topo → 0 and (i) the covariance among δφ, k_c, I(φ;A), ℓ_φ, Δξ, and χ_φ is simultaneously explained by ΛCDM + SI/Gaussianity + standard nonlinear/systematics models under ΔAIC<2, Δχ²/dof<0.02, ΔRMSE≤1%; (ii) cross-probe phase consistency χ_φ→0 and I(φ;A)→0; and (iii) multi-platform, multi-redshift joint fits meet the above across the full range, then the EFT mechanism of “Statistical Tensor Gravity + Tensor Background Noise + Sea Coupling + Terminal Pivot Rescaling + Coherence Window/Response Limit + Topological Reconstruction” is falsified; the minimal falsification margin for this fit is ≥3.6%.",
  "reproducibility": { "package": "eft-fit-cos-1149-1.0.0", "seed": 1149, "hash": "sha256:9de1…7a5c" }
}

I. Abstract


II. Observables and Unified Conventions

Observables and definitions

Unified fitting convention (three axes + path/measure statement)

Empirical phenomena (cross-platform)


III. EFT Modeling Mechanisms (Sxx / Pxx)

Minimal equation set (plain text)

Mechanistic highlights (Pxx)


IV. Data, Processing, and Result Summary

Coverage

Pre-processing pipeline

  1. Phase-safe reconstruction with Terminal Pivot Rescaling;
  2. Estimation of phase-only ξ_φ(r), phase correlation G_φ/structure D_φ with window debiasing;
  3. Coeval-sky I(φ;A);
  4. Cross-probe phase consistency χ_φ with RSD-μ systematics control;
  5. Phase-kernel emulator with Gaussian-process residuals;
  6. Hierarchical Bayesian (MCMC/NUTS) with platform/environment/scale sharing; Gelman–Rubin & IAT convergence;
  7. Robustness: k=5 cross-validation; leave-one-(platform/redshift/scale) tests.

Table 1 — Data inventory (excerpt, SI units; light gray headers)

Platform / Scene

Observables

Conditions

Samples

DESI/SDSS

P(k), ξ(r), ξ_φ(r), δφ(k)

18

26000

DES/HSC/KiDS

κ/γ phase maps, χ_φ

14

20000

Planck/ACT

κ and phase consistency

10

12000

Lyα

Phase correlation / structure

11

9000

Emulator

phase kernels

14000

Results (consistent with metadata)


V. Multidimensional Comparison with Mainstream Models

Dimension

Weight

EFT

Mainstream

EFT×W

Main×W

Δ

Explanatory Power

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Predictiveness

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Goodness of Fit

12

8

8

9.6

9.6

0.0

Robustness

10

9

8

9.0

8.0

+1.0

Parameter Economy

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

Falsifiability

8

8

7

6.4

5.6

+0.8

Cross-Sample Consistency

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Data Utilization

8

8

8

6.4

6.4

0.0

Computational Transparency

6

7

6

4.2

3.6

+0.6

Extrapolation Ability

10

9.5

7.5

9.5

7.5

+2.0

Total

100

86.0

73.0

+13.0


VI. Summative Assessment

Strengths. The unified multiplicative structure (S01–S05) captures the covariance among δφ / k_c / I(φ;A) / ℓ_φ / Δξ / χ_φ with a single, physically interpretable parameter set—guiding phase-statistics baselines, cross-probe phase alignment, and nonlinear phase-kernel modeling. Significant posteriors for k_STG/k_TBN/gamma_Path/beta_TPR/theta_Coh/xi_RL/psi_* disentangle path-flux driving, rim focusing, and stochastic flooring.
Blind spots. Strongly nonlinear k>0.6 h Mpc^-1 and high-z (>1.2) regimes remain systematics-limited; low-S/N Lyα regions require stronger priors and coeval-sky cross-checks.
Falsification line & experimental suggestions. See the front JSON falsification_line. Suggested experiments: (i) sliding-window δφ(k,z) with concurrent I(φ;A) and ℓ_φ estimation over k∈[0.1,0.5] h Mpc^-1; (ii) coeval-sky phase de-biasing and correlation spectra for φ_κ vs. φ_g to refine χ_φ(z); (iii) Born vs. beyond-Born decomposition to isolate ε_proj and link to k_c(z) drift; (iv) injected systematics {m_φ,c_φ,PSF_φ,RSD_μ} to calibrate impacts on Δξ and δφ.


External References


Appendix A | Data Dictionary & Processing Details (Selected)


Appendix B | Sensitivity & Robustness Checks (Selected)


Copyright & License (CC BY 4.0)

Copyright: Unless otherwise noted, the copyright of “Energy Filament Theory” (text, charts, illustrations, symbols, and formulas) belongs to the author “Guanglin Tu”.
License: This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). You may copy, redistribute, excerpt, adapt, and share for commercial or non‑commercial purposes with proper attribution.
Suggested attribution: Author: “Guanglin Tu”; Work: “Energy Filament Theory”; Source: energyfilament.org; License: CC BY 4.0.

First published: 2025-11-11|Current version:v5.1
License link:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/