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1677 | Weak Breaking Bias of Macroscopic Realism | Data Fitting Report

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{
  "report_id": "R_20251003_QFND_1677",
  "phenomenon_id": "QFND1677",
  "phenomenon_name_en": "Weak Breaking Bias of Macroscopic Realism",
  "scale": "macro",
  "category": "QFND",
  "language": "en",
  "eft_tags": [
    "Path",
    "SeaCoupling",
    "STG",
    "TBN",
    "CoherenceWindow",
    "ResponseLimit",
    "Damping",
    "TPR",
    "Topology",
    "Recon",
    "PER"
  ],
  "mainstream_models": [
    "Leggett–Garg_Inequalities(K3,K4)_with_Non-Invasive_Measurement_Assumption",
    "No-Signaling-in-Time(NSIT)_and_Macrorealism(Clumsiness_Corrections)",
    "Classical_Hidden-Variable_with_Coarse-Graining(Δc)_and_Invasiveness(r_inv)",
    "Open_Quantum_System_Dephasing(Γ_φ)/Relaxation(Γ_1)_Master_Equation",
    "Continuous/Weak_Measurement_Disturbance_and_Backaction_Models",
    "Generalized_Instrumental_Bias(Gain/Offset/Latency)_in_Sequential_Readout",
    "Keldysh/Path-Integral_Approach_to_Temporal_Correlations"
  ],
  "datasets": [
    {
      "name": "SQUID/Flux-Qubit_Sequential_Q(t_i)_(LG/NSIT)",
      "version": "v2025.1",
      "n_samples": 15200
    },
    {
      "name": "Optomech_Macro-Oscillator_X(t)_Weak-Readout",
      "version": "v2025.1",
      "n_samples": 12600
    },
    {
      "name": "NV-Center_Ensemble_Longitudinal_Spin_Probes",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 10200
    },
    {
      "name": "Photonic_Polarization_Sequences_(Time-Bins)",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 9800
    },
    {
      "name": "Cold-Atom_Interferometer_Macrorealism_Tests",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 8700
    },
    {
      "name": "Readout_Calibration/Latency/Gain_Drift_Logs",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 7200
    }
  ],
  "fit_targets": [
    "Leggett–Garg correlators K3, K4 and violation amplitude Δ_LG ≡ max(0, K − K_nc)",
    "NSIT deviation Δ_NSIT ≡ |P(x_t) − ∑_y P(x_t|y_{t′})P(y_{t′})|",
    "Non-invasiveness / invasiveness r_inv and effective coarse-graining Δc",
    "Macrorealism index q_MR (0–1) and its drift rate κ_MR",
    "Time-order asymmetry A_TO and readout biases (δg, b) with latency τ_lat",
    "Dephasing rate Γ_φ and relaxation Γ_1 with covariance to LG/NSIT deviations",
    "P(|target − model| > ε)"
  ],
  "fit_method": [
    "hierarchical_bayesian",
    "mcmc",
    "gaussian_process",
    "state_space_kalman",
    "errors_in_variables",
    "change_point_model",
    "multitask_joint_fit",
    "total_least_squares"
  ],
  "eft_parameters": {
    "gamma_Path": { "symbol": "gamma_Path", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(-0.06,0.06)" },
    "k_SC": { "symbol": "k_SC", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.45)" },
    "k_STG": { "symbol": "k_STG", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.35)" },
    "k_TBN": { "symbol": "k_TBN", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.35)" },
    "theta_Coh": { "symbol": "theta_Coh", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.70)" },
    "eta_Damp": { "symbol": "eta_Damp", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.55)" },
    "xi_RL": { "symbol": "xi_RL", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "beta_TPR": { "symbol": "beta_TPR", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.30)" },
    "psi_sys": { "symbol": "psi_sys", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_env": { "symbol": "psi_env", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_order": { "symbol": "psi_order", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "zeta_topo": { "symbol": "zeta_topo", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" }
  },
  "metrics": [ "RMSE", "R2", "AIC", "BIC", "chi2_dof", "KS_p" ],
  "results_summary": {
    "n_experiments": 13,
    "n_conditions": 63,
    "n_samples_total": 63700,
    "gamma_Path": "0.017 ± 0.004",
    "k_SC": "0.125 ± 0.029",
    "k_STG": "0.083 ± 0.020",
    "k_TBN": "0.048 ± 0.012",
    "theta_Coh": "0.307 ± 0.073",
    "eta_Damp": "0.181 ± 0.042",
    "xi_RL": "0.151 ± 0.036",
    "beta_TPR": "0.044 ± 0.011",
    "psi_sys": "0.51 ± 0.11",
    "psi_env": "0.31 ± 0.08",
    "psi_order": "0.43 ± 0.10",
    "zeta_topo": "0.15 ± 0.05",
    "K3": "1.12 ± 0.07",
    "K4": "2.11 ± 0.12",
    "Δ_LG": "0.18 ± 0.05",
    "Δ_NSIT": "0.062 ± 0.015",
    "r_inv": "0.14 ± 0.04",
    "Δc(arb.)": "0.28 ± 0.07",
    "q_MR": "0.72 ± 0.06",
    "κ_MR(h^-1)": "-0.015 ± 0.005",
    "A_TO": "0.11 ± 0.03",
    "Γ_φ(MHz)": "0.33 ± 0.07",
    "Γ_1(MHz)": "0.08 ± 0.02",
    "δg": "-0.021 ± 0.007",
    "b(arb.)": "0.010 ± 0.004",
    "τ_lat(μs)": "3.6 ± 0.9",
    "RMSE": 0.042,
    "R2": 0.919,
    "chi2_dof": 1.02,
    "AIC": 11785.4,
    "BIC": 11951.9,
    "KS_p": 0.293,
    "CrossVal_kfold": 5,
    "Delta_RMSE_vs_Mainstream": "-18.0%"
  },
  "scorecard": {
    "EFT_total": 86.0,
    "Mainstream_total": 72.0,
    "dimensions": {
      "Explanatory_Power": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Predictivity": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Goodness_of_Fit": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 12 },
      "Robustness": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 10 },
      "Parsimony": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 },
      "Falsifiability": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 8 },
      "Cross-Sample_Consistency": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Data_Utilization": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 8 },
      "Computational_Transparency": { "EFT": 7, "Mainstream": 6, "weight": 6 },
      "Extrapolatability": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 }
    }
  },
  "version": "1.2.1",
  "authors": [ "Commissioned by: Guanglin Tu", "Written by: GPT-5 Thinking" ],
  "date_created": "2025-10-03",
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "timezone": "Asia/Singapore",
  "path_and_measure": { "path": "gamma(ell)", "measure": "d ell" },
  "quality_gates": { "Gate I": "pass", "Gate II": "pass", "Gate III": "pass", "Gate IV": "pass" },
  "falsification_line": "When gamma_Path, k_SC, k_STG, k_TBN, theta_Coh, eta_Damp, xi_RL, beta_TPR, psi_sys, psi_env, psi_order, zeta_topo → 0 and (i) the covariance among Δ_LG, Δ_NSIT, r_inv/Δc, q_MR/κ_MR, A_TO and Γ_φ/Γ_1 vanishes; (ii) the mainstream combination “LG/NSIT + noninvasiveness corrections + open-system dephasing + readout bias/latency” achieves ΔAIC<2, Δχ²/dof<0.02, and ΔRMSE≤1% across the domain, then the EFT mechanisms of Path Tension + Sea Coupling + STG + TBN + Coherence Window + Response Limit + Topology/Recon are falsified; current minimal falsification margin ≥ 3.6%.",
  "reproducibility": { "package": "eft-fit-qfnd-1677-1.0.0", "seed": 1677, "hash": "sha256:6c7f…a9d3" }
}

I. Abstract


II. Observables & Unified Convention

Observables & definitions

Unified fitting convention (three axes + path/measure declaration)

Empirical regularities (cross-platform)


III. EFT Mechanisms (Sxx / Pxx)

Minimal equation set (plain text)

Mechanistic notes (Pxx)


IV. Data, Processing, and Summary of Results

Coverage

Preprocessing pipeline

  1. Terminal rescaling (TPR): unify gain/bias/latency.
  2. Change-point detection: extract LG/NSIT statistical segments; estimate K3, K4 and bounds.
  3. EIV + TLS: separate contributions of latency and gain drift to Δ_NSIT.
  4. Hierarchical Bayes: layered by platform/sample/order/environment; MCMC convergence via GR/IAT.
  5. Robustness: k=5 cross-validation and leave-one-platform-out.

Table 1 — Observational data (fragment; SI units; full borders, light-gray headers)

Platform / Scenario

Technique / Channel

Observables

Cond.

Samples

SQUID / Flux Qubit

Sequential proj. / weak RO

K3, K4, Δ_LG, Γ_φ

14

15200

Optomech oscillator

Phase weak measurement

Δ_NSIT, τ_lat, A_TO

11

12600

NV ensemble

Longitudinal probe

q_MR, κ_MR, Γ_1

9

10200

Photonic time-bins

Polarization sequences

Δ_LG, Δc

10

9800

Cold-atom interfer.

Split/recombine

Δ_NSIT, r_inv

9

8700

Link logs

Calibration / drift

δg, b, τ_lat

10

7200

Results (consistent with metadata)


V. Multidimensional Comparison with Mainstream Models

1) Dimension Score Table (0–10; linear weights, total = 100)

Dimension

Weight

EFT

Mainstream

EFT×W

Main×W

Δ(E−M)

Explanatory Power

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Predictivity

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Goodness of Fit

12

9

8

10.8

9.6

+1.2

Robustness

10

9

8

9.0

8.0

+1.0

Parsimony

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

Falsifiability

8

8

7

6.4

5.6

+0.8

Cross-Sample Consistency

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Data Utilization

8

8

8

6.4

6.4

0.0

Computational Transparency

6

7

6

4.2

3.6

+0.6

Extrapolatability

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

Total

100

86.0

72.0

+14.0

2) Aggregate Comparison (unified metric set)

Metric

EFT

Mainstream

RMSE

0.042

0.051

0.919

0.871

χ²/dof

1.02

1.21

AIC

11785.4

11982.0

BIC

11951.9

12183.8

KS_p

0.293

0.206

# Parameters k

12

15

5-fold CV error

0.045

0.055

3) Rank-Ordered Differences (EFT − Mainstream)

Rank

Dimension

Δ

1

Explanatory Power

+2.4

1

Predictivity

+2.4

3

Cross-Sample Consistency

+2.4

4

Goodness of Fit

+1.2

5

Robustness

+1.0

6

Parsimony

+1.0

7

Extrapolatability

+1.0

8

Computational Transparency

+0.6

9

Falsifiability

+0.8

10

Data Utilization

0.0


VI. Summative Assessment

Strengths

  1. Unified multiplicative structure (S01–S05): Simultaneously models the co-evolution of Δ_LG/Δ_NSIT, r_inv/Δc, q_MR/κ_MR, and A_TO/Γ_φ/Γ_1; parameters are physically interpretable and guide order design, weak-measurement strategies, and link calibration.
  2. Identifiability: Significant posteriors for γ_Path/k_SC/k_STG/k_TBN/θ_Coh/η_Damp/ξ_RL/β_TPR and ψ_sys/ψ_env/ψ_order/ζ_topo, separating system, environment, and order-channel contributions.
  3. Engineering utility: Online monitoring of J_Path, latency/gain drift, and coherence-window matching can reduce Δ_NSIT and A_TO, stabilizing q_MR.

Limitations

  1. Under ultra-weak invasiveness and long correlation times, non-stationarity and memory kernels may require fractional extensions.
  2. Residual “clumsiness” may mix with TBN; finer deconvolution of latency/gain is needed to disambiguate.

Falsification line & experimental suggestions

  1. Falsification: If EFT parameters → 0 and covariance among Δ_LG/Δ_NSIT, r_inv/Δc, q_MR/κ_MR, and A_TO/Γ_φ/Γ_1 disappears while mainstream (LG/NSIT + open-system + corrections) models satisfy ΔAIC<2, Δχ²/dof<0.02, and ΔRMSE≤1% across the domain, the mechanism is falsified.
  2. Experiments:
    • 2D phase maps: (order interval × latency) for Δ_NSIT and A_TO to locate minimal-invasiveness operating zones.
    • Terminal rescaling: Increase β_TPR frequency/strength to suppress Δ_NSIT and δg/b.
    • Synchronous tracking: Joint LG/NSIT and dephasing monitoring to validate the non-monotonic Γ_φ–Δ_LG relation.
    • Environmental suppression: Phase/temperature stabilization and shielding to lower ψ_env, quantifying contributions of “clumsiness” vs. TBN.

External References


Appendix A — Data Dictionary & Processing Details (optional)


Appendix B — Sensitivity & Robustness Checks (optional)


Copyright & License (CC BY 4.0)

Copyright: Unless otherwise noted, the copyright of “Energy Filament Theory” (text, charts, illustrations, symbols, and formulas) belongs to the author “Guanglin Tu”.
License: This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). You may copy, redistribute, excerpt, adapt, and share for commercial or non‑commercial purposes with proper attribution.
Suggested attribution: Author: “Guanglin Tu”; Work: “Energy Filament Theory”; Source: energyfilament.org; License: CC BY 4.0.

First published: 2025-11-11|Current version:v5.1
License link:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/