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Chapter 9 — Metrics, Intervals & Gates (Alignment Decisions)


I. Purpose & Scope


II. Inputs & Dependencies


III. Metric Set


IV. Intervals & Coverage

  1. Choose exactly one mode across the volume:
    • k coverage (expanded): U = k·u_c;
    • alpha confidence: t_{ν,1−α/2} or normal approximation;
    • quantile[p_lo,p_hi] (e.g., [0.025, 0.975]).
  2. Reporting: every key metric must include point estimate + interval; figures use error bars/bands and caption the coverage mode & parameters.
  3. Small-sample DOF: for Delta, use Welch–Satterthwaite degrees of freedom.

V. Alignment Decisions & Tolerances


VI. Normative Path Forms

Before decisions, align time → path → phase; ensure len(gamma_ell)=len(d_ell)=len(n_eff)≥2; echo delta_form; require p_dim = 1.0.


VII. Gate Mapping & Decision

  1. G1 Schema completeness | G2 Citation compliance | G3 Path conventions | G4 Dimensional closure | G5 Freshness | G6 Coverage consistency | G7 Covariance consistency | G8 Uniqueness & acyclicity.
  2. Threshold examples (aligned with Error Budget / Model Card):
    • |ΔT_arr| + U(T_arr) ≤ τ_T;
    • LB(r_phi) ≥ r_phi_min;
    • P95(ε_flux) ≤ ε_flux_guard;
    • Latency_P95 ≤ SLA, Throughput ≥ SLO.
  3. Release rule: core gates pass and all key metrics (point + interval) meet thresholds → Pass; else Fail / [Restricted] (qualitative only).

VIII. Machine-Readable Specs
A. eval/compare_spec.yaml

version: "1.0.0"

coverage: { mode: "k", k: 2 } # k|alpha|quantile

metrics:

mae: { tolerance: 1.0e-4 }

auc: { tolerance: 2.0e-3 }

r_phi:{ lb95_min: 0.60 }

delta_t_arr_s: { guard: "tau_T_s" }

epsilon_flux_p95: { guard: 0.02 }

latency_p95_s: { guard: 0.200 }

rules:

interval_overlap_required: true

same_coverage_band_required: true

B. reports/validate_report.json (excerpt)

{

"gates":{"G1":true,"G2":0.94,"G3":true,"G4":true,"G5":true,"G6":true,"G7":true,"G8":true},

"metrics":{

"MAE":{"ref":0.0123,"repro":0.0124,"within_tol":true},

"Latency_P95_s":{"ref":0.182,"repro":0.188,"within_guard":true}

},

"intervals":{

"r_phi":{"ref":[0.61,0.80],"repro":[0.62,0.79],"overlap":true}

},

"decision":"pass"

}


C. Figure exports: figs/metric_curves.{pdf,png}, figs/interval_bands.{svg,png}—captions include units & coverage mode.


IX. Anti-Patterns & Fixes


X. Cross-References


XI. Checklist


Copyright & License (CC BY 4.0)

Copyright: Unless otherwise noted, the copyright of “Energy Filament Theory” (text, charts, illustrations, symbols, and formulas) belongs to the author “Guanglin Tu”.
License: This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). You may copy, redistribute, excerpt, adapt, and share for commercial or non‑commercial purposes with proper attribution.
Suggested attribution: Author: “Guanglin Tu”; Work: “Energy Filament Theory”; Source: energyfilament.org; License: CC BY 4.0.

First published: 2025-11-11|Current version:v5.1
License link:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/