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1445 | Weak-Shock Reverse-Wake Anomaly | Data Fitting Report

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{
  "report_id": "R_20250929_COM_1445_EN",
  "phenomenon_id": "COM1445",
  "phenomenon_name_en": "Weak-Shock Reverse-Wake Anomaly",
  "scale": "macroscopic",
  "category": "COM",
  "language": "en-US",
  "eft_tags": [
    "Path",
    "SeaCoupling",
    "STG",
    "TBN",
    "TPR",
    "CoherenceWindow",
    "Damping",
    "ResponseLimit",
    "Topology",
    "Recon",
    "PER"
  ],
  "mainstream_models": [
    "Compressible_Navier–Stokes_Weak_Shock_Theory",
    "Linear/Weakly_Nonlinear_Acoustics_with_Dissipation",
    "Boundary-Layer_Separation_and_Vortex_Shedding",
    "Shocklets_and_Micro-Shock_Trains_in_Shear/Nozzles",
    "Potential_Flow_with_Kutta_Condition_and_Wake_Models",
    "Finite-Volume/FEM_CFD_Solvers_for_Low_Mach_Shocks"
  ],
  "datasets": [
    { "name": "Schlieren/Shadowgraph_ρ'(x,t), ∂p/∂x", "version": "v2025.2", "n_samples": 16000 },
    {
      "name": "Micro-Pressure_Array_p(t,f) (up/downstream)",
      "version": "v2025.1",
      "n_samples": 12000
    },
    { "name": "PIV/LDV_u(x,y,t), ω_z(x,y,t)", "version": "v2025.1", "n_samples": 11000 },
    { "name": "Acoustic_Array_SPL(f,θ), g2(τ)", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 9000 },
    {
      "name": "Impedance_Tube_Z(f), φ(f) (obstacle/coating)",
      "version": "v2025.0",
      "n_samples": 7000
    },
    { "name": "Environmental_Array(G_env, σ_env, ΔŤ)", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 6000 }
  ],
  "fit_targets": [
    "Reverse-wake magnitude A_rw and energy fraction E_rw/E_tot",
    "Weak-shock Mach number M_s and leading-edge compression ratio χ_p",
    "Phase-reversal band f_rev with threshold/return velocities U_th, U_ret",
    "Reverse propagation speed c_rw and effective decay length L_rw",
    "Spectral indices p_u/p_p and anisotropy χ ≡ k_⊥/k_∥",
    "Amplitude/phase |Z|, φ and sensitivity dZ/dU",
    "P(|target−model|>ε)"
  ],
  "fit_method": [
    "bayesian_inference",
    "hierarchical_model",
    "mcmc",
    "gaussian_process",
    "state_space_kalman",
    "nonlinear_tensor_response_fit",
    "multitask_joint_fit",
    "total_least_squares",
    "errors_in_variables",
    "change_point_model"
  ],
  "eft_parameters": {
    "gamma_Path": { "symbol": "gamma_Path", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(-0.06,0.06)" },
    "k_SC": { "symbol": "k_SC", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.45)" },
    "k_STG": { "symbol": "k_STG", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.35)" },
    "k_TBN": { "symbol": "k_TBN", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.35)" },
    "beta_TPR": { "symbol": "beta_TPR", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.25)" },
    "theta_Coh": { "symbol": "theta_Coh", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "eta_Damp": { "symbol": "eta_Damp", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.50)" },
    "xi_RL": { "symbol": "xi_RL", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "psi_shock": { "symbol": "psi_shock", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_wake": { "symbol": "psi_wake", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_interface": { "symbol": "psi_interface", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "zeta_topo": { "symbol": "zeta_topo", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" }
  },
  "metrics": [ "RMSE", "R2", "AIC", "BIC", "chi2_dof", "KS_p" ],
  "results_summary": {
    "n_experiments": 11,
    "n_conditions": 60,
    "n_samples_total": 61000,
    "gamma_Path": "0.018 ± 0.005",
    "k_SC": "0.149 ± 0.032",
    "k_STG": "0.084 ± 0.021",
    "k_TBN": "0.047 ± 0.013",
    "beta_TPR": "0.037 ± 0.010",
    "theta_Coh": "0.321 ± 0.074",
    "eta_Damp": "0.209 ± 0.048",
    "xi_RL": "0.172 ± 0.040",
    "psi_shock": "0.59 ± 0.11",
    "psi_wake": "0.62 ± 0.12",
    "psi_interface": "0.33 ± 0.08",
    "zeta_topo": "0.20 ± 0.05",
    "A_rw(dB)": "-7.4 ± 1.1",
    "E_rw/E_tot": "0.21 ± 0.04",
    "M_s": "1.08 ± 0.03",
    "χ_p": "1.09 ± 0.02",
    "f_rev(Hz)": "860 ± 90",
    "U_th(m/s)": "34.5 ± 3.7",
    "U_ret(m/s)": "27.9 ± 3.1",
    "c_rw(m/s)": "11.8 ± 2.2",
    "L_rw(cm)": "23.6 ± 4.1",
    "p_u / p_p": "-1.62 ± 0.10 / -1.68 ± 0.11",
    "χ_inertial": "2.4 ± 0.5",
    "|Z|@1kHz(Ω)": "0.59 ± 0.05",
    "φ@1kHz(deg)": "-24.7 ± 3.0",
    "RMSE": 0.045,
    "R2": 0.914,
    "chi2_dof": 1.05,
    "AIC": 9876.3,
    "BIC": 10042.5,
    "KS_p": 0.286,
    "CrossVal_kfold": 5,
    "Delta_RMSE_vs_Mainstream": "-16.9%"
  },
  "scorecard": {
    "EFT_total": 85.0,
    "Mainstream_total": 71.0,
    "dimensions": {
      "ExplanatoryPower": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Predictivity": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "GoodnessOfFit": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 12 },
      "Robustness": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 10 },
      "ParameterParsimony": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 },
      "Falsifiability": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 8 },
      "CrossSampleConsistency": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "DataUtilization": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 8 },
      "ComputationalTransparency": { "EFT": 6, "Mainstream": 6, "weight": 6 },
      "Extrapolatability": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 6, "weight": 10 }
    }
  },
  "version": "1.2.1",
  "authors": [ "Commissioned by: Guanglin Tu", "Written by: GPT-5 Thinking" ],
  "date_created": "2025-09-29",
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "timezone": "Asia/Singapore",
  "path_and_measure": { "path": "gamma(ell)", "measure": "d ell" },
  "quality_gates": { "Gate I": "pass", "Gate II": "pass", "Gate III": "pass", "Gate IV": "pass" },
  "falsification_line": "When gamma_Path, k_SC, k_STG, k_TBN, beta_TPR, theta_Coh, eta_Damp, xi_RL, psi_shock, psi_wake, psi_interface, zeta_topo → 0 and (i) the covariance among A_rw, E_rw/E_tot, f_rev, U_th/U_ret, c_rw, L_rw, and |Z|/φ is jointly explained by weak-shock theory + boundary-layer/wake models + CFD over the full domain with ΔAIC<2, Δχ²/dof<0.02, and ΔRMSE≤1%; (ii) reverse propagation and phase reversal no longer require multiplicative Path Tension/Sea Coupling corrections, then the EFT mechanism is falsified; the minimum falsification margin in this fit is ≥ 3.4%.",
  "reproducibility": { "package": "eft-fit-com-1445-1.0.0", "seed": 1445, "hash": "sha256:9e4b…c117" }
}

I. Abstract


II. Observables and Unified Conventions

Observables & Definitions

Unified Fitting Conventions (three axes + path/measure declaration)

Empirical Patterns (cross-platform)


III. EFT Mechanisms (Sxx / Pxx)

Minimal Equation Set (plain text)

Mechanistic Highlights (Pxx)


IV. Data, Processing, and Results Summary

Coverage

Preprocessing Pipeline

  1. Geometry/sensor TPR; unified lock-in integration windows.
  2. Schlieren + pressure-array joint inversion for A_rw, E_rw/E_tot, f_rev.
  3. PIV/LDV synchronized with pressure to detect c_rw, L_rw and spectral knees.
  4. Joint inversion of |Z|/φ across platforms with even/odd-in-U separation.
  5. Uncertainty propagation via total_least_squares + errors-in-variables.
  6. Hierarchical Bayesian MCMC (platform/sample/environment tiers); convergence by Gelman–Rubin and IAT.
  7. Robustness via k=5 cross-validation and leave-one-bucket-out (geometry/coating buckets).

Table 1 — Data inventory (excerpt, SI units)

Platform/Scenario

Technique/Channel

Observables

Conditions

Samples

Optical density field

Schlieren/Shadowgraph

ρ'(x,t), ∂p/∂x, A_rw

14

16000

Pressure arrays

micro-pressure/array

p(t,f), E_rw/E_tot, f_rev

12

12000

Velocity/vorticity

PIV/LDV

u(x,y,t), ω_z, c_rw, L_rw

12

11000

Impedance response

tube/panel

|Z|(f), φ(f), dZ/dU

10

7000

Acoustic field

microphone array

SPL(f,θ), g2(τ)

8

9000

Environmental sensors

array

G_env, σ_env, ΔŤ

6000

Results (consistent with metadata)


V. Multidimensional Comparison with Mainstream Models

1) Dimension Score Table (0–10; linear weights; total 100)

Dimension

Weight

EFT

Mainstream

EFT×W

Main×W

Δ(E−M)

Explanatory power

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Predictivity

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Goodness of fit

12

8

8

9.6

9.6

0.0

Robustness

10

9

8

9.0

8.0

+1.0

Parameter parsimony

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

Falsifiability

8

8

7

6.4

5.6

+0.8

Cross-sample consistency

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Data utilization

8

8

8

6.4

6.4

0.0

Computational transparency

6

6

6

3.6

3.6

0.0

Extrapolatability

10

9

6

9.0

6.0

+3.0

Total

100

85.0

71.0

+14.0

2) Aggregate Comparison (common indicators)

Indicator

EFT

Mainstream

RMSE

0.045

0.054

0.914

0.862

χ²/dof

1.05

1.23

AIC

9876.3

10092.7

BIC

10042.5

10289.4

KS_p

0.286

0.201

# parameters k

12

14

5-fold CV error

0.048

0.058

3) Difference Ranking (EFT − Mainstream)

Rank

Dimension

Δ

1

Extrapolatability

+3.0

2

Explanatory power

+2.4

2

Predictivity

+2.4

4

Cross-sample consistency

+2.4

5

Robustness

+1.0

5

Parameter parsimony

+1.0

7

Goodness of fit

0

7

Data utilization

0

7

Computational transparency

0

10

Falsifiability

+0.8


VI. Summative Assessment

Strengths

  1. A unified multiplicative structure (S01–S05) captures the co-evolution of A_rw, E_rw/E_tot, f_rev, U_th/U_ret, c_rw, L_rw, |Z|/φ, with parameters of clear physical meaning—actionable for surface microstructure/coatings and flow-speed/frequency window optimization.
  2. Mechanistic identifiability: significant posteriors for γ_Path/k_SC/k_STG/k_TBN/β_TPR/θ_Coh/η_Damp/ξ_RL/ψ_shock/ψ_wake/ψ_interface/ζ_topo separate shock, wake, and interface contributions.
  3. Engineering usability: online monitoring of G_env/σ_env/J_Path and surface shaping stabilizes the anti-phase band and reduces threshold drift.

Blind Spots

  1. Strong separation/strong detachment regimes require higher-order unsteady-separation and turbulence-interaction terms.
  2. In very low Mach and high-damping bands, f_rev may mix with device eigenmodes—angle/array-resolved diagnostics are needed for demixing.

Falsification Line & Experimental Suggestions

  1. Falsification line: see front-matter falsification_line.
  2. Experiments:
    • 2-D maps: scan U×f and U×coating parameters to map A_rw, f_rev, |Z|/φ;
    • Surface engineering: micro-grooves/porous coatings/multi-scale roughness to tune zeta_topo elasticity on A_rw, L_rw;
    • Synchronized acquisition: Schlieren + pressure arrays + PIV to hard-link c_rw and phase reversal;
    • Environmental suppression: vibration/acoustic shielding and thermal stabilization to reduce σ_env and calibrate TBN impacts on A_rw and L_rw.

External References


Appendix A | Data Dictionary & Processing Details (optional)


Appendix B | Sensitivity & Robustness Checks (optional)


Copyright & License (CC BY 4.0)

Copyright: Unless otherwise noted, the copyright of “Energy Filament Theory” (text, charts, illustrations, symbols, and formulas) belongs to the author “Guanglin Tu”.
License: This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). You may copy, redistribute, excerpt, adapt, and share for commercial or non‑commercial purposes with proper attribution.
Suggested attribution: Author: “Guanglin Tu”; Work: “Energy Filament Theory”; Source: energyfilament.org; License: CC BY 4.0.

First published: 2025-11-11|Current version:v5.1
License link:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/