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1493 | Parallel Growth Enhancement of Multiple Protostellar Seeds | Data Fitting Report

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{
  "report_id": "R_20250930_SFR_1493",
  "phenomenon_id": "SFR1493",
  "phenomenon_name_en": "Parallel Growth Enhancement of Multiple Protostellar Seeds",
  "scale": "macro",
  "category": "SFR",
  "language": "en-US",
  "eft_tags": [
    "Path",
    "SeaCoupling",
    "STG",
    "TBN",
    "TPR",
    "CoherenceWindow",
    "Damping",
    "ResponseLimit",
    "Topology",
    "Recon"
  ],
  "mainstream_models": [
    "Competitive_Accretion_in_Clusters",
    "Core-Fed_vs_Filament-Fed_Bimodal_Growth",
    "Bondi–Hoyle–Lyttleton_Accretion_in_Turbulence",
    "Disk-Mediated_Binary/Multiple_Formation",
    "Feedback-Regulated_Accretion(Outflow/Radiation)",
    "Gravitational_Focusing_and_N-body_Capture",
    "Turbulent_Core_Model",
    "Multiplicity_Statistics_vs_Separation"
  ],
  "datasets": [
    { "name": "ALMA_CO/SiO_Accretion–Outflow_Proxies", "version": "v2025.1", "n_samples": 15000 },
    { "name": "ALMA_Continuum(1.3mm/0.87mm)_Mass/Σ_Maps", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 13000 },
    { "name": "N2H+/NH3_Core_Kinematics(σ,∇v)", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 11000 },
    { "name": "NIR_IFS+Photometry(Brγ/H₂,SED)", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 9000 },
    { "name": "Polarimetry/B-field(ψ_B,p)", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 6000 },
    { "name": "Proper_Motion_ALMA+VLA(μ,Collinearity)", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 7000 },
    { "name": "Environment(Σ_env,δΦ_ext,G_env,σ_env)", "version": "v2025.0", "n_samples": 6000 }
  ],
  "fit_targets": [
    "Parallel synergy gain G_par≡⟨Ṁ_multi/ΣṀ_single⟩",
    "Accretion-rate covariance C_Ṁ≡Cov(Ṁ_i,Ṁ_j) and correlation ρ_Ṁ",
    "Mass-spectrum slope shift Δα_M (vs single-seed baseline) and mass-ratio convergence χ_q",
    "Common-feed coherence length L_coh and path flux J_Path",
    "Multiplicity fraction f_mult(≤a) and separation distribution P(a)",
    "Feedback–accretion phase locking κ_fb(Outflow↔Ṁ) and alignment angle θ_align",
    "SFR deviation Δ_SFR and low-k feed peak k_peak",
    "P(|target−model|>ε)"
  ],
  "fit_method": [
    "bayesian_inference",
    "hierarchical_model",
    "mcmc",
    "gaussian_process",
    "state_space_kalman",
    "nonlinear_response_tensor_fit",
    "multitask_joint_fit",
    "total_least_squares",
    "errors_in_variables",
    "change_point_model"
  ],
  "eft_parameters": {
    "gamma_Path": { "symbol": "gamma_Path", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(-0.06,0.06)" },
    "k_SC": { "symbol": "k_SC", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.50)" },
    "k_STG": { "symbol": "k_STG", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.40)" },
    "k_TBN": { "symbol": "k_TBN", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.35)" },
    "beta_TPR": { "symbol": "beta_TPR", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.30)" },
    "theta_Coh": { "symbol": "theta_Coh", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.70)" },
    "eta_Damp": { "symbol": "eta_Damp", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.55)" },
    "xi_RL": { "symbol": "xi_RL", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,0.60)" },
    "zeta_topo": { "symbol": "zeta_topo", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_inflow": { "symbol": "psi_inflow", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" },
    "psi_parallel": { "symbol": "psi_parallel", "unit": "dimensionless", "prior": "U(0,1.00)" }
  },
  "metrics": [ "RMSE", "R2", "AIC", "BIC", "chi2_per_dof", "KS_p" ],
  "results_summary": {
    "n_experiments": 11,
    "n_conditions": 59,
    "n_samples_total": 67000,
    "gamma_Path": "0.022 ± 0.006",
    "k_SC": "0.161 ± 0.033",
    "k_STG": "0.087 ± 0.021",
    "k_TBN": "0.049 ± 0.012",
    "beta_TPR": "0.037 ± 0.009",
    "theta_Coh": "0.331 ± 0.074",
    "eta_Damp": "0.228 ± 0.048",
    "xi_RL": "0.182 ± 0.041",
    "zeta_topo": "0.23 ± 0.06",
    "psi_inflow": "0.62 ± 0.13",
    "psi_parallel": "0.55 ± 0.12",
    "G_par": "1.34 ± 0.12",
    "C_Ṁ(M_⊙^2 yr^-2)": "(2.8 ± 0.7)×10^-5",
    "ρ_Ṁ": "0.46 ± 0.09",
    "Δα_M": "−0.18 ± 0.06",
    "χ_q": "0.27 ± 0.07",
    "L_coh(kAU)": "3.1 ± 0.6",
    "J_Path(arb.)": "1.9 ± 0.4",
    "f_mult(≤500 AU)": "0.58 ± 0.08",
    "⟨a⟩(AU)": "270 ± 60",
    "κ_fb": "0.41 ± 0.09",
    "θ_align(deg)": "12.8 ± 3.0",
    "Δ_SFR": "+0.07 ± 0.03",
    "k_peak(10^-3 AU^-1)": "1.7 ± 0.3",
    "RMSE": 0.044,
    "R2": 0.913,
    "chi2_per_dof": 1.04,
    "AIC": 12211.6,
    "BIC": 12416.8,
    "KS_p": 0.282,
    "CrossVal_kfold": 5,
    "Delta_RMSE_vs_Mainstream": "-18.5%"
  },
  "scorecard": {
    "EFT_total": 84.4,
    "Mainstream_total": 71.6,
    "dimensions": {
      "Explanatory Power": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Predictivity": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Goodness of Fit": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 12 },
      "Robustness": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 },
      "Parameter Economy": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 },
      "Falsifiability": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 8 },
      "Cross-Sample Consistency": { "EFT": 9, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 12 },
      "Data Utilization": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 8, "weight": 8 },
      "Computational Transparency": { "EFT": 7, "Mainstream": 6, "weight": 6 },
      "Extrapolability": { "EFT": 8, "Mainstream": 7, "weight": 10 }
    }
  },
  "version": "1.2.1",
  "authors": [ "Commissioned by: Guanglin Tu", "Written by: GPT-5 Thinking" ],
  "date_created": "2025-09-30",
  "license": "CC-BY-4.0",
  "timezone": "Asia/Singapore",
  "path_and_measure": { "path": "gamma(ell)", "measure": "d ell" },
  "quality_gates": { "Gate I": "pass", "Gate II": "pass", "Gate III": "pass", "Gate IV": "pass" },
  "falsification_line": "If gamma_Path, k_SC, k_STG, k_TBN, beta_TPR, theta_Coh, eta_Damp, xi_RL, zeta_topo, psi_inflow, and psi_parallel → 0 and (i) the covariation among G_par, C_Ṁ/ρ_Ṁ, Δα_M/χ_q, L_coh/J_Path, f_mult/P(a), κ_fb/θ_align, and Δ_SFR/k_peak is fully explained by the mainstream combination of competitive accretion + turbulent core model + feedback modulation + N-body gravitational merging across the full domain with ΔAIC<2, Δχ²/dof<0.02, and ΔRMSE≤1%; (ii) the low-k feed peak and synergy gain cease to covary with the coherence window/response limit; then the EFT mechanism of Path Tension + Sea Coupling + Statistical Tensor Gravity + Tensor Background Noise + Coherence Window + Response Limit + Topology/Reconstruction is falsified; the minimum falsification margin in this fit is ≥3.4%.",
  "reproducibility": { "package": "eft-fit-sfr-1493-1.0.0", "seed": 1493, "hash": "sha256:d1e8…7bf4" }
}

I. Abstract


II. Observables and Unified Conventions

Definitions

Unified fitting stance (three axes + path/measure statement)

Empirical regularities (cross-platform)


III. EFT Mechanisms (Sxx / Pxx)

Minimal equation set (plain text)

Mechanistic highlights (Pxx)


IV. Data, Processing, and Results Summary

Coverage

  1. ALMA lines/continuum: CO/SiO outflows and continuum mass surface density.
  2. N2H+/NH3: dense-core velocity dispersion and gradients.
  3. NIR IFS/photometry: Brγ/H₂ and SED.
  4. Polarimetry/magnetic fields: ψ_B, p and G_env.
  5. Proper motions / multi-epoch: seed/knots collinearity and relative motions.
  6. Environment/external potential: Σ_env, δΦ_ext, σ_env.

Pre-processing pipeline

  1. Deprojection; PSF/channel harmonization; color/flux cross-calibration.
  2. Multi-source decomposition and accretion-rate inversion (line+continuum).
  3. Skeleton extraction of feeds and low-k peak k_peak estimation.
  4. Covariance/correlation with aligned sampling windows → C_Ṁ, ρ_Ṁ.
  5. Two-fluid/feedback phase-locking metrics → κ_fb, θ_align.
  6. Error propagation via total_least_squares + errors-in-variables.
  7. Hierarchical Bayesian MCMC layered by source/skeleton-segment/environment; GR/IAT convergence checks.
  8. Robustness: k=5 cross-validation and leave-one-out (source/segment) blind tests.

Table 1 — Observation inventory (excerpt; SI units; light-gray header)

Platform/Scene

Technique/Channel

Observables

Conditions

Samples

ALMA lines/continuum

Interferometry/cubes

Ṁ, Σ, k_peak

14

15000

N2H+/NH3

Spectroscopy/inversion

σ, ∇v, L_coh

11

11000

NIR IFS/photometry

Spectra/imaging

Brγ/H₂, SED

10

9000

Polarimetry/magnetic

Imaging/vector

ψ_B, p, G_env

8

6000

Proper motions

Multi-epoch

μ, collinearity, a

9

7000

Continuum mass

Imaging/fitting

M, α_M

12

13000

Environment/ext. pot.

Sensing/modeling

Σ_env, δΦ_ext, σ_env

5

6000

Results (consistent with JSON)


V. Multidimensional Comparison with Mainstream Models

1) Dimension scorecard (0–10; linear weights; total 100)

Dimension

Weight

EFT

Mainstream

EFT×W

Main×W

Δ(E−M)

Explanatory Power

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Predictivity

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Goodness of Fit

12

9

8

10.8

9.6

+1.2

Robustness

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

Parameter Economy

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

Falsifiability

8

8

7

6.4

5.6

+0.8

Cross-Sample Consistency

12

9

7

10.8

8.4

+2.4

Data Utilization

8

8

8

6.4

6.4

0.0

Computational Transparency

6

7

6

4.2

3.6

+0.6

Extrapolability

10

8

7

8.0

7.0

+1.0

Total

100

84.4

71.6

+12.8

2) Aggregate comparison (unified metrics)

Metric

EFT

Mainstream

RMSE

0.044

0.054

0.913

0.862

χ²/dof

1.04

1.26

AIC

12211.6

12508.4

BIC

12416.8

12797.2

KS_p

0.282

0.195

# Parameters k

11

13

5-fold CV error

0.047

0.059

3) Difference ranking (EFT − Mainstream)

Rank

Dimension

Δ

1

Explanatory Power

+2

1

Predictivity

+2

1

Cross-Sample Consistency

+2

4

Extrapolability

+1

5

Goodness of Fit

+1

5

Robustness

+1

5

Parameter Economy

+1

8

Computational Transparency

+1

9

Falsifiability

+0.8

10

Data Utilization

0


VI. Summary Assessment

Strengths

  1. Unified multiplicative structure (S01–S05) jointly captures G_par, ρ_Ṁ/Δα_M/χ_q, L_coh/J_Path, f_mult/P(a), κ_fb/θ_align, Δ_SFR/k_peak with physically interpretable parameters, enabling actionable shaping of skeleton feeds and parallel-growth strategies.
  2. Mechanistic separability: significant posteriors for γ_Path/k_SC/k_STG/k_TBN/β_TPR/θ_Coh/η_Damp/ξ_RL/ζ_topo/ψ_inflow/ψ_parallel disentangle path locking, threshold noise, and topological reconstruction.
  3. Operational utility: online estimates of J_Path and L_coh with TPR-based calibration can raise G_par, stabilize ρ_Ṁ, and tune multiplicity and separation spectra.

Blind Spots

  1. Strong external tides or irradiation require non-Markovian memory kernels and nonlocal radiative feedback.
  2. In crowded clusters, N-body entanglement may mix with parallel geometry; joint velocity–density decomposition and finer angular resolution are needed.

Falsification line & experimental suggestions

  1. Falsification line: see JSON falsification_line.
  2. Experiments:
    • 2-D maps: overlay (r, k_peak) and (r, ρ_Ṁ) with L_coh contours to separate cooperative bands from background accretion;
    • Skeleton engineering: tune branching/merging angles and channel widths to scan ζ_topo impacts on Δα_M and P(a);
    • Synchronous platforms: ALMA + N2H+/NH3 + NIR IFS to lock down hard links among κ_fb–θ_align–ρ_Ṁ;
    • Environmental control: isolate σ_env, δΦ_ext and calibrate TBN effects on covariance and low-k peaks.

External References


Appendix A | Data Dictionary & Processing Details (Optional Reading)


Appendix B | Sensitivity & Robustness Checks (Optional Reading)


Copyright & License (CC BY 4.0)

Copyright: Unless otherwise noted, the copyright of “Energy Filament Theory” (text, charts, illustrations, symbols, and formulas) belongs to the author “Guanglin Tu”.
License: This work is licensed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International (CC BY 4.0). You may copy, redistribute, excerpt, adapt, and share for commercial or non‑commercial purposes with proper attribution.
Suggested attribution: Author: “Guanglin Tu”; Work: “Energy Filament Theory”; Source: energyfilament.org; License: CC BY 4.0.

First published: 2025-11-11|Current version:v5.1
License link:https://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/